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U.S. mortgage-backed bond yield spreads mixed

By Aleksandrs Rozens

NEW YORK, March 23 (Reuters) - U.S. mortgage-backed
securities prices were unchanged to slightly weaker while
mortgage bond yield spreads were mixed early Monday.

A portfolio manager with a Northeast fund management firm
said mortgage bonds with lower coupons were 1/32 wider, while 6
percents were 1/32 narrower in spread to Treasuries.

Some of the widening in lower coupon spreads early this
session likely is related to lender sales, said a salesman with
a dealer firm.

These sales likely were prompted by a slight rise in U.S.
yields. Lenders usually sell mortgage debt when rates rise
because they expect borrowers to close on mortgage applications
with any increase in borrowing costs.

Early on Monday, the yield on 10-year Treasury notes
<US10YT=RR>, a proxy for U.S. 30-year mortgage rates, was at
3.73 percent.

The bond salesman said dealings this session have been
active. He said recent sessions have seen some buyers of 5
percents and there has been selling in 6 percents.

"It seems like the investing public is agreeing rates will
remain flat or lower throughout the year," said the bond
salesman.

If U.S. rates remain at their current levels or drop,
investors will stick to lower coupon bonds to avoid prepayment
risk. Higher coupons are expected to see greater prepayments
because these securities are backed by home loans more likely
to see refinancings.

Meanwhile, investors are placing more attention on events
overseas such as heightened Mideast tensions that could affect
U.S. Treasury yields.

"We were probably watching headlines and news yesterday as
much as people watched basketball Thursday and Friday," said
the trader with the regional dealer firm, referring to the
annual March college basketball games in the U.S. that capture
the interest of trading desks.

On Monday, concerns about Mideast tensions weighed on U.S.
stocks but appeared to have little immediate impact on Treasury
futures trade, said the portfolio manager with a Northeast fund
management firm. "People are worried, but the bond market was
quiet," he said.

A pickup in worries about Mideast tensions could prompt
some investors to put their money to work in a safe haven like
U.S. Treasuries. This better buying could then inflame worries
about low rates, refinancings and prepayments.



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