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Financial Sector Job Drain Not Over
By Jonathan Stempel
NEW YORK (Reuters) - New York City's
securities industry, which has lost more than one-fifth of its
work force since 2000, may not have seen the last of its job losses,
a trade group said on Friday.
The Securities Industry Association nevertheless
said employment may rise 2 percent to 3 percent in 2004, as higher
investment banking and merger activity persuades more firms to
join Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., Merrill Lynch & Co. and
others in adding staff.
"We haven't seen a bottom formed," said
SIA Chief Economist Frank Fernandez in an interview. "We
hear anecdotally that the bottom may have occurred. All of the
things that drove New York down faster than the national average
are probably behind us, particularly with respect to geographic
dispersion."
Financial services firms have since 2001 scattered
some operations to minimize disruptions in case of another disaster
like the Sept. 11 attacks.
New York City in January had 158,300 securities
jobs, down 42,000, or 22 percent, from December 2000, the SIA
said, citing revised data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Statewide, employment in the industry fell 18 percent to 177,900.
The city still accounts for 21 percent of U.S. securities
industry jobs, but that's down from 30 percent a decade ago.
Industry employment nationwide totaled 770,700 in
January, down 8 percent from the March 2001 peak, the SIA said.
Industry profit more than doubled last year to $15 billion, the
group has estimated.
City employment at brokerage houses standing alone
has fallen 27 percent since Dec. 2000 to 111,500, according to
James Brown, a labor market analyst with the New York State Department
of Labor.
"Their biggest cost is personnel, where is
where cutbacks will be when business" falters, Brown said
in an interview. The city, he said, is "not hanging onto
its full share."
HIRING ON THE HORIZON
Ray Soifer, whose Soifer Consulting LLC of Ridgewood,
New Jersey, advises financial services firms, expects Wall Street
to add senior investment bankers and merger specialists and to
bolster its profitable stock and bond trading operations.
Increased regulatory burdens will also require more
hiring in compliance and record-keeping, he said.
"On the other hand, there is a move toward outsourcing or
sending lower-level and operational functions overseas" to
such places as India to cut costs, Soifer said. "Even within
the metropolitan area you've got the continuing response to 9/11,
the need to decentralize operations."
Fernandez noted that "proximity to New York
is no longer a requirement" for certain jobs, especially
given the area's high living costs.
Not all banks and brokerages are retrenching in
the city. Bank of America Corp., for example, plans by 2008 to
build a 2.1 million square-foot tower near Times Square in midtown
Manhattan.
State Comptroller Alan Hevesi has said lower industry
profits and jobs in 2001 and 2002 was a big factor in the city's
recent budget problems.
The office of City Comptroller William Thompson
was not immediately available for comment. (Additional reporting
by Linda Prospero)
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